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the end of the simulation we have a winner, loser, team that covered, an over/under or push, etc.
The SportsLine soccer simulation model evaluates a team's offensive and defensive capabilities based on the game situation.
Win, lose, and draw probabilities are calculated based on simulation game results.
The spread and total probabilities are calculated from the total and spread line being applied to the simulation score results.
Grades are created using an expected payout to probability ratio.
In some cases we may have a very high % chance of a team covering, for example, but that team as constructed may not have a significant sample size of past data and that could result in a downgrade of a pick to a B.
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